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Stadium Background

Hong Kong vs Cambodia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

FIFA ASEAN Cup Kai Tak Sports Park, Hongkong
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Match Events

41' Event
Orr M.
Assist: Sun Ming-Him
45'
Tsui Wang-Kit
45'
Nieto A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hong Kong
15%
Draws
31%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hong Kong lately — more wins on the board than Cambodia.
  • Win probability leans Hong Kong's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Hong Kong have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hong Kong, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hong Kong Clean Sheet 12%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong Cambodia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup
Hong Kong vs Cambodia
2:0
Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Hong Kong
2:0
Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International
Hong Kong vs Cambodia
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Friendly International
Hong Kong vs Cambodia
3:0
Sep 7, 2023 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Hong Kong
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong Compare

Top Goalscorer Orr M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cambodia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong 83 / 100
Cambodia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Cambodia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Hong Kong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong VS Cambodia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong

(Home)
03 Oct
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Cambodia
30 Sept
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Brunei
27 Sept
Hong Kong
4 : 0
Laos
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
Page 1 of 7

Cambodia

(Away)
03 Oct
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Cambodia
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Hong Kong 2
Cambodia 0