Sport Picks

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Hong Kong vs India

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Kai Tak Sports Park, Hongkong
Hong Kong Logo

Hong Kong

1 - 0
FT
India Logo

India

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Juninho
40'
Fernandes B.
46'
Sub
Merkies R. In: Mahama A.
Out: Merkies R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hong Kong
20%
Draws
40%
India
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hong Kong have won more games recently than India.
  • Model gives Hong Kong a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Hong Kong have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hong Kong, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hong Kong Clean Sheet 68%
India Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong India
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.68 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
India vs Hong Kong
2:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Hong Kong vs India
1:0
Jun 14, 2022 Asian Cup
India vs Hong Kong
4:0
Oct 4, 2010 Friendly International
India vs Hong Kong
0:1
Jan 14, 2009 Friendly International
Hong Kong vs India
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong 50 / 100
India 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong India

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: India conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

India lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong VS India
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong

(Home)
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
03 Jan
Guangdong XI
3 : 2
Hong Kong
28 Dec
Hong Kong
2 : 2
Guangdong XI
Page 1 of 7

India

(Away)
09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1
India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1
India
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0
India
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)