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Hong Kong W vs North Korea W

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sung Hyang-Sim
13' Event
Choe Kum-Ok
16' Event
Sung Hyang-Sim

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 game between Hong Kong W and North Korea W finished 0-11, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Korea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hong Kong W
15%
Draws
58%
North Korea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • North Korea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • North Korea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North Korea W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Hong Kong W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hong Kong W North Korea W
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.52 5.17
Goals Conceded 2 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2023 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Hong Kong W vs North Korea W
0:11
Aug 20, 2018 Asian Games Women
Hong Kong W vs North Korea W
0:8
Apr 5, 2017 Asian Cup Women
North Korea W vs Hong Kong W
5:0
Sep 20, 2014 Asian Games Women
Hong Kong W vs North Korea W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hong Kong W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

North Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sung Hyang-Sim
2 Goals
Assists Leader Choe Kum-Ok
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hong Kong W 10 / 100
North Korea W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hong Kong W North Korea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.25 goals as a typical output.

Hong Kong W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

North Korea W has conceded goals in 34% of their last 29 outings.

Hong Kong W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hong Kong W VS North Korea W
0.88 Goals Scored 4.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hong Kong W

(Home)
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Hong Kong W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2
Fiji W
Page 1 of 5

North Korea W

(Away)
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1
North Korea W
17 Sept
Myanmar W
0 : 8
North Korea W
14 Sept
North Korea W
10 : 0
Bangladesh W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 3 0 0 47:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 2 0 1 12:12 6
3 Northern Mariana Islands W 3 1 0 2 5:26 3
4 Mongolia W 3 0 0 3 3:29 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 (Qualification - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 2 2 0 0 19:0 6
2 Guam W 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
3 Macau W 2 0 0 2 0:22 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 (Qualification - Play Offs)