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Honka vs KaPa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Huhtamaki R.
63' Event
74' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Honka and KaPa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KaPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Honka
30%
Draws
12%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Honka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Honka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Honka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Honka Clean Sheet 20%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honka KaPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 3.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Honka vs KaPa
2:3
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Honka vs KaPa
2:2
Mar 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Honka vs KaPa
1:0
Oct 3, 2015 Kakkonen South
KaPa vs Honka
1:0
Aug 6, 2015 Kakkonen South
Honka vs KaPa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rokman D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Huhtamaki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honka 85 / 100
KaPa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honka KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Honka scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

KaPa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Honka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honka VS KaPa
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Honka

(Home)
13 Sept
Ilves 2
2 : 0
Honka
06 Sept
Honka
5 : 1
HJS
02 Sept
EPS
0 : 1
Honka
28 Aug
Honka
1 : 1
Pallo-Iirot
22 Aug
EBK
0 : 2
Honka
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KaPa

(Away)
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
20 Aug
KaPa
1 : 3
Jippo
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
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