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Honved vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Bozsik Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Szamosi A.
Assist: Zuigeber A.
27'
Sub
Hinora K. In: Komaromi G.
Out: Hinora K.
34'
Jurek G.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between Honved and MTK Budapest finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Honved
15%
Draws
46%
MTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Honved come out ahead of MTK Budapest on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Honved's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Honved Clean Sheet 11%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honved MTK Budapest
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NB I.
Honved vs MTK Budapest
3:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Honved
4:3
Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Honved
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Honved
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 NB I.
Honved vs MTK Budapest
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honved Compare

Top Goalscorer Szamosi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Somogyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurek G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerezsi Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honved 56 / 100
MTK Budapest 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honved MTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honved Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Honved scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: MTK Budapest conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Honved has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Honved VS MTK Budapest
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Honved

(Home)
18 Sept
Puskas Academy
3 : 1
Honved
12 Sept
Bajai
0 : 7
Honved
06 Sept
Gyor
3 : 2
Honved
29 Aug
Honved
1 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
14 Aug
Honved
1 : 2
Vasas
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MTK Budapest

(Away)
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)