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Hoogland vs Groene Ster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Heus C.

AI Match Summary

Hoogland in this Derde Divisie 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoogland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hoogland
20%
Draws
23%
Groene Ster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hoogland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hoogland at 1.47 per game, Groene Ster at 1.31.
  • Win probability leans Hoogland's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 20%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoogland Groene Ster
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.47 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Groene Ster
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Hoogland
3:1
May 2, 2021 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Groene Ster
0:0
Jan 17, 2021 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Hoogland
0:0
Mar 15, 2020 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Hoogland
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoogland Compare

Top Goalscorer Heus C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Groene Ster Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoogland 85 / 100
Groene Ster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoogland Groene Ster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoogland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groene Ster let in goals in 92% of their last 36 matches.

Hoogland's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Hoogland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Groene Ster's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Groene Ster
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoogland

(Home)
19 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 2
Hoogland
16 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
12 Jun
Hoogland
5 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
09 Jun
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 0
Hoogland
06 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
GVV Unitas
Page 1 of 6

Groene Ster

(Away)
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 34 21 7 6 70:38 70
2 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 7 8 65:38 64
3 Sportlust 34 17 7 10 63:40 58
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 18 4 12 61:41 58
5 HSV Hoek 34 16 7 11 53:49 55
6 ACV Assen 34 14 9 11 50:42 51
7 Excelsior 31 34 14 9 11 53:47 51
8 Barendrecht 34 13 11 10 72:57 50
9 SteDoCo 34 12 9 13 49:48 45
10 Staphorst 34 13 6 15 54:56 45
11 Ter Leede 34 13 5 16 49:67 44
12 Harkemase Boys 34 10 12 12 63:62 42
13 VV DOVO 34 10 8 16 43:57 38
14 VVSB 34 10 8 16 50:66 38
15 ODIN '59 34 9 10 15 52:68 37
16 VVOG 34 10 7 17 61:82 37
17 Ajax (Am) 34 10 6 18 38:54 36
18 GOES 34 6 10 18 44:78 28
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 7 9 66:47 61
2 USV Hercules 34 18 5 11 74:46 59
3 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 7 10 64:46 58
4 Gemert 34 15 12 7 75:57 57
5 FC OSS '20 34 16 8 10 62:46 56
6 Groene Ster 34 14 9 11 48:50 51
7 Dongen 34 13 11 10 56:47 50
8 UNA 34 15 5 14 60:58 50
9 HSC '21 34 15 4 15 63:52 49
10 HV & CV Quick 34 14 5 15 47:44 47
11 Blauw Geel 34 13 6 15 55:56 45
12 DEM 34 13 6 15 37:50 45
13 GVV Unitas 34 12 6 16 41:59 42
14 Watergraafsmeer 34 12 6 16 59:69 40
15 Hoogland 34 11 6 17 42:64 39
16 EVV 34 9 10 15 36:59 37
17 HVV Hollandia 34 10 5 19 38:55 35
18 Westlandia 34 8 8 18 43:61 32
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2021/2022 (Relegation)