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Hoogland vs Lienden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 19, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hoogland host Lienden in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Hoogland at 1.45 goals for, 1.77 against; Lienden at 0.84 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Hoogland have won 0 to Lienden's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.50) back Hoogland to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hoogland
20%
Draws
23%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hoogland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hoogland come out ahead of Lienden on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hoogland taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 16%
Lienden Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoogland Lienden
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.45 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Derde Divisie
Hoogland vs Lienden
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs Hoogland
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoogland 48 / 100
Lienden 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoogland Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoogland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lienden conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

Hoogland found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Hoogland has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hoogland VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoogland

(Home)
19 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 2
Hoogland
16 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
12 Jun
Hoogland
5 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
09 Jun
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 0
Hoogland
06 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
GVV Unitas
Page 1 of 7

Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)