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Hoogstraten vs Dessel

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Van De Vel N.
84' Event
Brandt M.

AI Match Summary

Hoogstraten in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoogstraten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hoogstraten
30%
Draws
39%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Hoogstraten have won more games recently than Dessel.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hoogstraten Clean Sheet 14%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoogstraten Dessel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.76 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Dessel
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Hoogstraten
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Dessel
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Hoogstraten
2:3
Mar 20, 2024 National Division 1
Dessel vs Hoogstraten
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoogstraten Compare

Top Goalscorer Van De Vel N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brandt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dessel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoogstraten 35 / 100
Dessel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoogstraten Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dessel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoogstraten's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dessel let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hoogstraten went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoogstraten VS Dessel
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoogstraten

(Home)
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
18 Apr
Hoogstraten
3 : 1
Ninove
11 Apr
Zelzate
1 : 2
Hoogstraten
28 Mar
Hoogstraten
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
21 Mar
K. Lyra-Lierse
2 : 0
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 6

Dessel

(Away)
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
28 Mar
Dessel
3 : 1
Zelzate
21 Mar
Dessel
4 : 3
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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