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Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten Logo

Hoogstraten

2 - 3
FT
Merelbeke Logo

Merelbeke

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Binst N.
33' Event
Van den Eynde A.
53' Event
Binst N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Hoogstraten and Merelbeke finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hoogstraten
35%
Draws
32%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merelbeke come out ahead of Hoogstraten on wins alone.
  • Merelbeke are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hoogstraten here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hoogstraten Clean Sheet 10%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoogstraten Merelbeke
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke
2:3
Mar 15, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Merelbeke
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Hoogstraten
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoogstraten Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuijpers D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verheyen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Binst N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Van den Eynde A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoogstraten 26 / 100
Merelbeke 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoogstraten Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelbeke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoogstraten scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Merelbeke let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Hoogstraten went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hoogstraten VS Merelbeke
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoogstraten

(Home)
03 Oct
Hoogstraten
3 : 0
Houtvenne
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
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Merelbeke

(Away)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 6 5 0 1 17:8 15
2 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 SK Roeselare 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
10 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
11 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Hoogstraten 6 1 3 2 14:13 6
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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