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Stadium Background

Hopaspor vs Sebat Spor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Efe G.
Assist: Yavrucu S.
64' Event
Kupeli S.
75' Event
Sonmezsoy V.
Assist: Bilgin A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Hopaspor and Sebat Spor Kulubu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sebat Spor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hopaspor
33%
Draws
27%
Sebat Spor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sebat Spor Kulubu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Hopaspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Sebat Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopaspor Sebat Spor Kulubu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Sebat Spor Kulubu
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Sebat Spor Kulubu vs Hopaspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Efe G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sebat Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kupeli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonmezsoy V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 50 / 100
Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopaspor Sebat Spor Kulubu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopaspor found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sebat Spor Kulubu conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hopaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hopaspor VS Sebat Spor Kulubu
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321