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Hordur Isafjordur vs Alftanes

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hordur Isafjordur play Alftanes in the Icelandic Cup 2022. Alftanes are favorites here. Recently, Hordur Isafjordur averaged 0.6 goals scored and 5.4 conceded. Alftanes averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. In past meetings, Hordur Isafjordur won 0, Alftanes won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2022 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Hordur Isafjordur and 3.06 for Alftanes. This points to a Alftanes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hordur Isafjordur
15%
Draws
69%
Alftanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alftanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hordur Isafjordur picked up more points recently compared to Alftanes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 3.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Hordur Isafjordur Clean Sheet 10%
Alftanes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hordur Isafjordur Alftanes
Matches Played 10 27
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.6 1.63
Goals Conceded 5.4 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.86 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Hordur Isafjordur vs Alftanes
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hordur Isafjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Alftanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdarson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Belanyi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hordur Isafjordur 16 / 100
Alftanes 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hordur Isafjordur Alftanes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alftanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Alftanes & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hordur Isafjordur attacking → ← attacking Alftanes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hordur Isafjordur scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Alftanes let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Hordur Isafjordur went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Alftanes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 30
0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
4.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00