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Horizonte U20 vs Ferroviario U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Ryan

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario U20 in this Cearense U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Horizonte U20
15%
Draws
48%
Ferroviario U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario U20 have won more games recently than Horizonte U20.
  • Win probability leans Horizonte U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Horizonte U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horizonte U20 Ferroviario U20
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Cearense U20
Horizonte U20 vs Ferroviario U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horizonte U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horizonte U20 50 / 100
Ferroviario U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horizonte U20 Ferroviario U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horizonte U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horizonte U20 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Ferroviario U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Horizonte U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Horizonte U20 VS Ferroviario U20
1.29 Goals Scored 0.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horizonte U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
19 Jun
Horizonte U20
3 : 0
Juazeiro CE U20
05 Jun
Horizonte U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
23 May
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 2
Horizonte U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresta EC U20 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
2 Fortaleza U20 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Ferroviario U20 7 4 2 1 6:6 14
4 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
5 Atletico Cearense U20 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
6 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 7 2 2 3 13:16 8
7 Juazeiro CE U20 7 1 0 6 6:34 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 5 2 0 20:4 17
2 Tirol U20 7 3 4 0 17:3 13
3 Vila Real U20 7 2 3 2 15:8 9
4 Anjos do Ceu U20 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
5 Horizonte U20 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Caucaia U20 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
7 Tiangua EC U20 7 0 0 7 4:15 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)