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Horley Town vs Crawley Town

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ford E.
21' Event
Nadesan A.
42' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Horley Town and Crawley Town finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crawley Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Horley Town
15%
Draws
34%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crawley Town come out ahead of Horley Town on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Horley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horley Town Crawley Town
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Horley Town vs Crawley Town
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ford E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nadesan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horley Town 30 / 100
Crawley Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horley Town Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Horley Town's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Crawley Town let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Crawley Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Horley Town VS Crawley Town
2 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horley Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Faversham
6 : 2
Horley Town
29 Aug
Punjab United
0 : 2
Horley Town
25 Jul
Horley Town
3 : 0
Croydon FC
20 Jul
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 0
Horley Town
10 Jul
Horley Town
1 : 6
Crawley Town
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Crawley Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2
Crawley Town
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