Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hornau vs Bad Soden

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Pekesen M.
51' Event
Raweri K.
66' Event
Wintermeier L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Hornau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hornau
20%
Draws
40%
Bad Soden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hornau come out ahead of Bad Soden on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Hornau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hornau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hornau Clean Sheet 15%
Bad Soden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornau Bad Soden
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 5 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.3 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Hornau vs Bad Soden
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornau Compare

Top Goalscorer Raweri K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wintermeier L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bad Soden Compare

Top Goalscorer Pekesen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornau 35 / 100
Bad Soden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornau Bad Soden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bad Soden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bad Soden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Hornau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bad Soden's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hornau VS Bad Soden
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornau

(Home)
07 Jun
CSC 03 Kassel
3 : 1
Hornau
04 Jun
Hornau
3 : 5
CSC 03 Kassel
31 May
Hanau
4 : 1
Hornau
25 May
Hornau
2 : 2
Baunatal
17 May
Hunfelder
4 : 2
Hornau
Page 1 of 6

Bad Soden

(Away)
07 Jun
Bad Soden
1 : 1
Bornheim GW
04 Jun
Bornheim GW
2 : 1
Bad Soden
06 Jun
VfB Marburg
3 : 2
Bad Soden
03 Jun
Bad Soden
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
11 Jun
Hornau
3 : 1
Bad Soden
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pars Neu-Isenburg 1
Hornau 6
Bad Soden 7
Viktoria Griesheim 6
Final
Hornau 3
Bad Soden 1