Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hornau vs VfB Marburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Freese M.
57' Event
Erbe F.
75' Event
Strack N.

AI Match Summary

Hornau in this Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hornau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Hornau
20%
Draws
73%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VfB Marburg lately — more wins on the board than Hornau.
  • Model gives VfB Marburg a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hornau Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornau VfB Marburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hornau vs VfB Marburg
4:3
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Hornau
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornau Compare

Top Goalscorer Erbe F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sexauer H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

VfB Marburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Freese M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Strack N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornau 10 / 100
VfB Marburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornau VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Hornau found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

VfB Marburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Hornau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hornau VS VfB Marburg
2 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornau

(Home)
07 Jun
CSC 03 Kassel
3 : 1
Hornau
04 Jun
Hornau
3 : 5
CSC 03 Kassel
31 May
Hanau
4 : 1
Hornau
25 May
Hornau
2 : 2
Baunatal
17 May
Hunfelder
4 : 2
Hornau
Page 1 of 6

VfB Marburg

(Away)
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
29 Aug
Giessen
1 : 3
VfB Marburg
22 Aug
Hanauer SC
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
15 Aug
VfB Marburg
1 : 1
Kassel 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernwald 36 20 10 6 77:35 70
2 Alzenau 36 19 10 7 91:46 67
3 Turk Gucu Friedberg 36 18 11 7 83:54 65
4 RW Walldorf 36 20 6 10 77:49 65
5 Stadtallendorf 36 18 6 12 64:47 60
6 Darmstadt U21 36 18 5 13 69:38 59
7 Baunatal 36 17 7 12 67:55 57
8 Hunfelder 36 16 7 13 63:59 55
9 Eddersheim 36 14 13 9 74:65 55
10 Waldgirmes 36 14 8 14 66:71 50
11 Weidenhausen 36 12 11 13 66:63 47
12 Hanauer SC 36 14 5 17 70:71 47
13 Hanau 36 13 7 16 56:71 45
14 VfB Marburg 36 12 8 16 47:59 44
15 Unter-Flockenbach 36 10 11 15 62:89 41
16 Wolfhagen 36 10 8 18 52:66 38
17 SV Steinbach 36 8 9 19 42:83 32
18 Hornau 36 6 10 20 55:92 28
19 TSV Steinbach Haiger II 36 4 6 26 41:109 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)