Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Kidderminster
England
National League Hornchurch Stadium, London 
Match Events
19'
19'
Baldwin J.
Assist: Inniss R.
26'
26'
MacDonald A.
Own Goal
34'
34'
Welch M.
Assist: Hearn H.
AI Match Summary
Hornchurch in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hornchurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kidderminster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kidderminster have won more games recently than Hornchurch.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Kidderminster taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 17%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Kidderminster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Kidderminster
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Baldwin J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Welch M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Kidderminster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 15 / 100
Kidderminster 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Kidderminster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kidderminster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hornchurch scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Kidderminster has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Hornchurch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Kidderminster
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Hornchurch
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0 Hornchurch
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
28 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Woking
18 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Norwich U21
Page 1 of 4
Kidderminster
(Away) 26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1 Yeovil
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0 Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0 Gateshead
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0 Hartlepool
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4 Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0 Kidderminster
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4 Kidderminster
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3 Kidderminster
08 Aug
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Kidderminster
01 Aug
Stourbridge
0 : 5 Kidderminster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Southend | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:16 | 20 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Harrogate | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Worthing FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Sutton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Forest Green | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 14 | Halifax | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Woking | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Barrow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 18 | Boston United | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:28 | 8 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:26 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | 4 |
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