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Hornchurch vs Leyton Orient

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Alexander G.
64' Event
Alexander G.
66' Event
Ballard D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hornchurch and Leyton Orient finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hornchurch
39%
Draws
31%
Leyton Orient
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hornchurch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leyton Orient here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 20%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch Leyton Orient
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Hornchurch vs Leyton Orient
2:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Hornchurch vs Leyton Orient
0:7
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
Hornchurch vs Leyton Orient
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexander G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Leyton Orient Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballard D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 31 / 100
Leyton Orient 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch Leyton Orient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hornchurch's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Solid form: Hornchurch remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Leyton Orient has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS Leyton Orient
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
18 Jul
Hornchurch
1 : 1
Norwich U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
11 Jul
Redbridge
0 : 3
Hornchurch
07 Jul
Hornchurch
0 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
09 May
Hornchurch
3 : 2
Torquay
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Leyton Orient

(Away)
17 Jul
Lincoln City
0 : 2
Leyton Orient
10 Jul
Enfield Town
1 : 4
Leyton Orient
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2
Burton
25 Apr
Blackpool
1 : 0
Leyton Orient
18 Apr
Leyton Orient
0 : 2
Rotherham
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