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Hornchurch vs Millwall U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Hearn H.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Hearn H.
69' Event
Ferguson N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hornchurch and Millwall U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hornchurch
22%
Draws
18%
Millwall U21
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hornchurch come out ahead of Millwall U21 on wins alone.
  • Hornchurch are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 14%
Millwall U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch Millwall U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Hornchurch vs Millwall U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Hearn H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Millwall U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 57 / 100
Millwall U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch Millwall U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hornchurch scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Millwall U21 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hornchurch has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS Millwall U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
28 Jul
Enfield Town
4 : 2
Hornchurch
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
18 Jul
Hornchurch
1 : 1
Norwich U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
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Millwall U21

(Away)
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
13 Apr
Coventry U21
1 : 4
Millwall U21
31 Mar
Millwall U21
1 : 1
Sheffield Wed U21
24 Mar
Fleetwood Town U21
3 : 2
Millwall U21
20 Mar
Millwall U21
2 : 0
Watford U21
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