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Hornchurch vs Millwall U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Hearn H.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Hearn H.
69' Event
Ferguson N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hornchurch and Millwall U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Hornchurch
15%
Draws
21%
Millwall U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hornchurch come out ahead of Millwall U21 on wins alone.
  • Hornchurch are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 20%
Millwall U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch Millwall U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.89 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Hornchurch vs Millwall U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Hearn H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Millwall U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 67 / 100
Millwall U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch Millwall U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hornchurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hornchurch scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Millwall U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hornchurch has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS Millwall U21
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0
Hornchurch
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
31 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3
Hornchurch
28 Aug
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Woking
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Millwall U21

(Away)
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 0
Millwall U21
25 Aug
Millwall U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0
Millwall U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
13 Apr
Coventry U21
1 : 4
Millwall U21
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