Sport Picks
Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Hornchurch Stadium, London 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Kizzi J. In: Edwards F.
Out: Kizzi J.
60'
60'
Sub
Gale J. In: Brennan L.
Out: Gale J.
61'
61'
Ashbee S.
AI Match Summary
Hornchurch in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hornchurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hornchurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hornchurch lately — more wins on the board than Scunthorpe.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 16%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hornchurch | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Scunthorpe
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Inniss R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Scunthorpe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hornchurch 31 / 100
Scunthorpe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hornchurch Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hornchurch scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Scunthorpe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.
Away concern: Scunthorpe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch VS Scunthorpe
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home) 06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0 Ipswich U21
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
Page 1 of 4
Scunthorpe
(Away) 29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Eastleigh
3 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
