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Hornchurch vs Woking - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Hornchurch Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Wraight T.
48'
Syla R.
62'
Sub
Ferguson N. In: Rowe A.
Out: Ferguson N.

AI Match Summary

Hornchurch in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hornchurch
20%
Draws
46%
Woking
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Woking

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hornchurch lately — more wins on the board than Woking.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Woking taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%
Woking Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hornchurch Woking
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
Hornchurch vs Woking
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Woking Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hornchurch 14 / 100
Woking 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hornchurch Woking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Woking Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Woking's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hornchurch scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Hornchurch has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hornchurch VS Woking
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hornchurch

(Home)
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2
Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0
Hornchurch
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Woking

(Away)
03 Oct
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Woking
29 Sept
Woking
2 : 4
Solihull Moors
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
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