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Horndean vs Bognor Regis

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horndean in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horndean.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Horndean
15%
Draws
45%
Bognor Regis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bognor Regis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bognor Regis lately — more wins on the board than Horndean.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Bognor Regis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bognor Regis have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Horndean Clean Sheet 20%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horndean Bognor Regis
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Horndean vs Bognor Regis
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Horndean vs Bognor Regis
0:4
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Horndean vs Bognor Regis
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horndean 24 / 100
Bognor Regis 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horndean Bognor Regis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bognor Regis let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Horndean has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Horndean scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Scoring Trends

Horndean VS Bognor Regis
0 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horndean

(Home)
06 Sept
Bedfont Sports
1 : 0
Horndean
05 Oct
Tavistock
3 : 1
Horndean
21 Sept
Exmouth Town
1 : 2
Horndean
07 Sept
Horndean
3 : 0
Binfield
27 Jul
Horndean
1 : 0
Bognor Regis
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Bognor Regis

(Away)
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
11 Jul
Bognor Regis
4 : 1
Hamble
08 Jul
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
Fareham
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