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Horoya vs Hafia

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Horoya Logo

Horoya

2 - 1
FT
Hafia Logo

Hafia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horoya in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Horoya
35%
Draws
28%
Hafia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Horoya have won more games recently than Hafia.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Horoya Clean Sheet 20%
Hafia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horoya Hafia
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 21 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.73 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Hafia
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Hafia vs Horoya
1:2
Jun 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Hafia vs Horoya
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Hafia
0:1
May 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Hafia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horoya 32 / 100
Hafia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horoya Hafia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horoya found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Horoya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Hafia conceded in 45% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Horoya VS Hafia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Horoya

(Home)
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
06 Apr
Ashanti GB (SAG)
0 : 0
Horoya
03 Apr
Milo FC
0 : 0
Horoya
Page 1 of 7

Hafia

(Away)
22 Apr
Hafia
1 : 1
ASFAG
17 Apr
Hafia
0 : 0
RCC Kamsar
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
07 Apr
Renaissance
0 : 0
Hafia
03 Apr
Sangaredi
0 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)