Sport Picks
Horriya vs Al Ittihad Aleppo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Syria
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Al-Ahmad A.
23'
23'
Mahop E.
40'
40'
Rihanieh M.
AI Match Summary
Al Ittihad Aleppo in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad Aleppo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittihad Aleppo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Ittihad Aleppo lately — more wins on the board than Horriya.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Al Ittihad Aleppo taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Al Ittihad Aleppo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Horriya Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Horriya | Al Ittihad Aleppo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 24 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Horriya
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Ittihad Aleppo
1:5
Feb 16, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Horriya
2:1
Sep 27, 2023 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Ittihad Aleppo
0:1
Aug 5, 2022 Syria Cup
Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Horriya
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Horriya Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustafa M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Al Ittihad Aleppo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahop E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Al-Ahmad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Horriya 10 / 100
Al Ittihad Aleppo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Horriya Al Ittihad Aleppo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittihad Aleppo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Horriya's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Al Ittihad Aleppo let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Horriya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Horriya VS Al Ittihad Aleppo
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Horriya
(Home) 04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1 Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1 Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1 Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3 Damascus Al Ahli
14 Jun
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0 Horriya
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1 Al Taliya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3 Damascus Al Ahli
30 May
Horriya
1 : 0 Khan Shaykhun
19 May
Horriya
0 : 2 Al Jaish
10 May
Horriya
6 : 0 Jableh
Page 1 of 3
Al Ittihad Aleppo
(Away) 11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0 Bangladesh Police
03 Jul
Al Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0 Al Jaish
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4 Al Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0 Hottin
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Aleppo
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4 Al Ittihad Aleppo
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Aleppo
30 May
Al Shouleh
0 : 5 Al Ittihad Aleppo
19 May
Tishreen
1 : 2 Al Ittihad Aleppo
08 May
Al Karamah
2 : 4 Al Ittihad Aleppo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad Aleppo | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 83:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Homs Al Fidaa | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 55:12 | 72 |
| 3 | Al Wahda | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 53:24 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Karamah | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 55:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Al Taliya | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:24 | 47 |
| 6 | Hottin | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Tishreen | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42:34 | 44 |
| 8 | Al Jaish | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 9 | Damascus Al Ahli | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 10 | Horriya | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 30:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29:47 | 33 |
| 12 | Foutoua | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 36:53 | 30 |
| 13 | Umayya | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27:44 | 24 |
| 14 | Khan Shaykhun | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:53 | 23 |
| 15 | Jableh | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27:60 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Shouleh | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14:51 | 17 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
