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Horriya vs Jableh

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mustafa M.
36' Event
Mustafa M.
49' Event
Mustafa M.

AI Match Summary

Horriya in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Horriya
15%
Draws
0%
Jableh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Horriya have won more games recently than Jableh.
  • Win probability leans Horriya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Horriya Clean Sheet 68%
Jableh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horriya Jableh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Jableh
6:0
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Jableh vs Horriya
2:2
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Horriya vs Jableh
0:5
Dec 8, 2023 Premier League
Jableh vs Horriya
3:0
Mar 12, 2021 Premier League
Jableh vs Horriya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafa M.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Hussein A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jableh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horriya 95 / 100
Jableh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horriya Jableh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jableh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jableh lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Horriya scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Horriya VS Jableh
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horriya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

Jableh

(Away)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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