Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horriya vs Umayya

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
56' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Horriya and Umayya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Horriya
39%
Draws
31%
Umayya
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horriya come out ahead of Umayya on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Horriya Clean Sheet 68%
Umayya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horriya Umayya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Umayya
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Umayya vs Horriya
0:0
Jul 7, 2014 Syria Cup
Horriya vs Umayya
4:1
Apr 17, 2014 Premier League
Horriya vs Umayya
2:0
Feb 20, 2014 Premier League
Umayya vs Horriya
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horriya 41 / 100
Umayya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horriya Umayya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL- Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horriya's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Umayya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Umayya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Horriya VS Umayya
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horriya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

Umayya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117
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