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Horseed vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Horseed Logo

Horseed

3 - 1
FT
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horseed in this National league matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horseed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Horseed
20%
Draws
34%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Badbaado haven't matched Horseed's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Horseed here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Horseed Clean Sheet 15%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Badbaado
3:1
May 31, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Horseed
0:2
Feb 26, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Badbaado
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Horseed
0:7
Jun 23, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Badbaado
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 31 / 100
Badbaado 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Badbaado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Horseed stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Badbaado
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)