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Horseed vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Horseed Logo

Horseed

0 - 3
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Horseed and Elman finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Horseed
20%
Draws
34%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Elman have managed 1.73 goals a game lately — Horseed are scoring more at 2.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Horseed Clean Sheet 17%
Elman Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Elman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 National league
Elman vs Horseed
0:0
May 2, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Elman
0:3
May 22, 2025 National league
Elman vs Horseed
3:2
Feb 7, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Elman
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 National league
Elman vs Horseed
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 30 / 100
Elman 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horseed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Elman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Horseed stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Elman
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)