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Horseed vs Jeenyo

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Horseed
6%
Draws
4%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Horseed have won more games recently than Jeenyo.
  • Horseed are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Horseed Clean Sheet 19%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Jeenyo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Jeenyo
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Horseed
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Horseed
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Jeenyo
4:2
Jun 11, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Horseed
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 85 / 100
Jeenyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jeenyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Horseed stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Jeenyo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
26 Jun
Heegan
2 : 3
Horseed
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Jeenyo

(Away)
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
09 Jul
Jeenyo
3 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
28 Jun
Jeenyo
2 : 2
Badbaado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka18125148:1441
2Heegan19125247:1541
3Mogadishu City19116236:1239
4Dekedda19107244:2037
5Elman19113532:1336
6Horseed1998237:1735
7Jazeera1855837:3520
8Jeenyo1947830:3019
9Badbaado18521130:3117
10Raadsan18411330:5013
11Jubba19201713:816
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)