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Horsens vs Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

Superliga Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
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Match Events

35'
Herdonsson A.
58' Event
Knudsen M.
Assist: Bech T.
59'
Sub
Herdonsson A. In: Lusavec K.
Out: Herdonsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Horsens and Aarhus finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Horsens
30%
Draws
31%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horsens come out ahead of Aarhus on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aarhus have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Horsens Clean Sheet 13%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsens Aarhus
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Superliga
Horsens vs Aarhus
2:2
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:1
Jun 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Horsens vs Aarhus
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsens Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milicevic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Knudsen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCowatt C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsens 31 / 100
Aarhus 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsens Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Horsens's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Horsens remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Horsens VS Aarhus
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsens

(Home)
02 Oct
Horsens
2 : 1
Vejle
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Horsens
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
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Aarhus

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen 9 8 0 1 23:8 24
2 Midtjylland 9 5 4 0 17:9 19
3 Viborg 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
4 Nordsjaelland 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Brondby 9 4 1 4 12:15 13
6 Horsens 9 3 2 4 15:16 11
7 Silkeborg 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
8 Randers FC 9 3 1 5 11:14 10
9 Odense 9 2 3 4 8:14 9
10 Lyngby 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
11 Aarhus 9 0 5 4 11:17 5
12 Sonderjyske 9 1 2 6 12:21 5
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)