Sport Picks
Horsham FC vs Chesham
England
National League South The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium, Horsham 
Match Events
28'
28'
Lafleur A.
47'
47'
Yila J.
53'
53'
Bennetts J.
AI Match Summary
Chesham in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Horsham FC haven't matched Chesham's recent run of results.
- Model gives Chesham a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chesham here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 17%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Horsham FC | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Chesham
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs Chesham
1:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Horsham FC
0:0
Oct 22, 2011 FA Trophy
Chesham vs Horsham FC
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Horsham FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Yila J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Lafleur A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bennetts J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Horsham FC 15 / 100
Chesham 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Horsham FC Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Horsham FC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Horsham FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Horsham FC VS Chesham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Horsham FC
(Home) 19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1 Horsham FC
05 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 1 Dagenham & Red.
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2 Farnham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 1 Dagenham & Red.
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2 Farnham
18 Aug
Horsham FC
2 : 0 Hampton & Richmond
15 Aug
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Salisbury
Page 1 of 4
Chesham
(Away) 19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
