Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horsham FC vs Hornchurch

England England

National League South 2025/2026 The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sandat H.
65' Event
Poleon D.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Horsham FC and Hornchurch finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hornchurch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Horsham FC
28%
Draws
50%
Hornchurch
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hornchurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Hornchurch has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Horsham FC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Hornchurch.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 12%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsham FC Hornchurch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 National League South
Horsham FC vs Hornchurch
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 National League South
Hornchurch vs Horsham FC
1:1
Jan 6, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hornchurch vs Horsham FC
1:1
Aug 12, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Hornchurch
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Hornchurch
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsham FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hornchurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandat H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poleon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsham FC 22 / 100
Hornchurch 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsham FC Hornchurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsham FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Hornchurch let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Horsham FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hornchurch lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horsham FC VS Hornchurch
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036