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Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division Hørsholm Idrætspark, Rungsted Kyst
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Khalid A.
55' Event
Kirkeby G.
58' Event
Huzaifa M.

AI Match Summary

Horsholm-Usserod in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horsholm-Usserod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Horsholm-Usserod
15%
Draws
48%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Holbaek have won more games recently than Horsholm-Usserod.
  • Holbaek are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 20%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsholm-Usserod Holbaek
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 10 22
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.3
Goals Conceded 2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Horsholm-Usserod
4:4
Sep 6, 2025 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Holbaek
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsholm-Usserod Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalid A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkeby G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Holbaek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsholm-Usserod 24 / 100
Holbaek 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsholm-Usserod Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsholm-Usserod's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Holbaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Solid form: Horsholm-Usserod remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Horsholm-Usserod VS Holbaek
2.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsholm-Usserod

(Home)
03 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Helsingor
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
Page 1 of 7

Holbaek

(Away)
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
25 Sept
Helsingor
5 : 1
Holbaek
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 10 7 1 2 26:18 22
2 Bronshoj 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
3 Vanlose 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
4 Naesby 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
5 Helsingor 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
6 ASA Aarhus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
7 Holstebro 10 4 1 5 16:22 13
8 Horsholm-Usserod 10 3 3 4 20:19 12
9 Sundby 10 3 1 6 14:16 10
10 BK Frem 10 2 3 5 17:19 9
11 Ishoj IF 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
12 Ringsted 10 1 2 7 13:27 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)