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Horsholm-Usserod vs Lyseng

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Hørsholm Idrætspark
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AI Match Summary

Horsholm-Usserod play Lyseng in the 3rd Division 2025/2026. Lyseng are favorites here. Recently, Horsholm-Usserod averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Lyseng averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Horsholm-Usserod won 2, Lyseng won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Horsholm-Usserod and 1.00 for Lyseng. This points to a Lyseng double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Horsholm-Usserod
25%
Draws
60%
Lyseng
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lyseng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Horsholm-Usserod picked up more points recently compared to Lyseng.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 23%
Lyseng Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsholm-Usserod Lyseng
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Lyseng
4:2
Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Horsholm-Usserod
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsholm-Usserod Compare

Top Goalscorer Veggerby O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkeby G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lyseng Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiilerich J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schmidt Hansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsholm-Usserod 18 / 100
Lyseng 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsholm-Usserod Lyseng

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyseng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Lyseng & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Horsholm-Usserod attacking → ← attacking Lyseng

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsholm-Usserod scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lyseng let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Horsholm-Usserod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lyseng lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 36
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nykobing22174153:1755
2Frederiksberg Alliancen 200022133633:2342
3Naesby22113842:3936
4Bronshoj2295834:3832
5Vanlose2294930:2731
6Horsholm-Usserod2285938:3829
7BK Frem22841022:2428
8Holbaek2295843:3326
9Vejgaard22751030:4626
10Sundby22731232:3924
11Odder22631324:3321
12Lyseng22521514:3817