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Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Hørsholm Idrætspark, Rungsted Kyst
Horsholm-Usserod Logo

Horsholm-Usserod

0 - 1
FT
Vanlose Logo

Vanlose

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Barlach A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Horsholm-Usserod and Vanlose finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanlose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Horsholm-Usserod
30%
Draws
51%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanlose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Horsholm-Usserod Clean Sheet 20%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsholm-Usserod Vanlose
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Horsholm-Usserod
0:2
May 2, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 3rd Division
Horsholm-Usserod vs Vanlose
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Horsholm-Usserod
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsholm-Usserod 36 / 100
Vanlose 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsholm-Usserod Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsholm-Usserod's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vanlose's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Horsholm-Usserod stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horsholm-Usserod VS Vanlose
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsholm-Usserod

(Home)
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
0 : 2
Bronshoj
Page 1 of 7

Vanlose

(Away)
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
13 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
29 Aug
Vanlose
2 : 2
BK Frem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)