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Hostoun vs Chomutov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B Stadion Vojtecha Zeithamla, Hostoun - KD
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hostoun host Chomutov in the 4. liga - Group B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hostoun at 1.56 goals for, 1.04 against; Chomutov at 2.07 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Hostoun slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.75) back Chomutov to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hostoun
15%
Draws
35%
Chomutov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hostoun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Chomutov have won more games recently than Hostoun.
  • Hostoun are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hostoun here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hostoun Clean Sheet 12%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hostoun Chomutov
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.56 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 3. CFL - Group A
Hostoun vs Chomutov
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 3. CFL - Group A
Chomutov vs Hostoun
0:2
Mar 17, 2019 4. liga - Group B
Hostoun vs Chomutov
2:1
Aug 18, 2018 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Hostoun
1:4
Apr 25, 2018 4. liga - Group B
Hostoun vs Chomutov
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hostoun 83 / 100
Chomutov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hostoun Chomutov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hostoun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hostoun has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hostoun scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Chomutov has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hostoun VS Chomutov
3.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hostoun

(Home)
04 Oct
Hostoun
1 : 1
Psary
25 Sept
Vysehrad
1 : 2
Hostoun
20 Sept
Hostoun
5 : 1
Velvary
12 Sept
Ujezd Prague
0 : 2
Hostoun
06 Sept
Hostoun
4 : 2
Brandys nad Labem
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Chomutov

(Away)
03 Oct
Ostrov
2 : 1
Chomutov
25 Sept
Chomutov
1 : 0
Karlovy Vary
19 Sept
Hvezda Cheb
1 : 3
Chomutov
12 Sept
Chomutov
0 : 2
Slany
05 Sept
Steti
1 : 2
Chomutov
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