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Hottin vs Al Shorta Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Akil A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Hottin and Al Shorta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hottin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Hottin
15%
Draws
59%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Hottin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Shorta a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hottin Clean Sheet 17%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hottin Al Shorta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Hottin vs Al Shorta
1:0
Dec 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Hottin
3:3
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Hottin vs Al Shorta
1:0
Apr 19, 2022 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Hottin
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 Premier League
Hottin vs Al Shorta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hottin Compare

Top Goalscorer Akil A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Shorta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hottin 28 / 100
Al Shorta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hottin Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hottin's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Shorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hottin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hottin VS Al Shorta
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hottin

(Home)
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
19 Jun
Hottin
1 : 0
Khan Shaykhun
14 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
2 : 0
Hottin
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al-Shouleh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)