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Hottur vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kjartansson D.
56' Event
Jonasson A.
75' Event
Jonasson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2018 game between Hottur and Afturelding finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hottur
15%
Draws
40%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afturelding come out ahead of Hottur on wins alone.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Afturelding here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hottur Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hottur Afturelding
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 23
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.63 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Afturelding
1:3
Jul 14, 2018 Division 2
Afturelding vs Hottur
2:2
Sep 2, 2017 Division 2
Afturelding vs Hottur
6:2
Jun 24, 2017 Division 2
Hottur vs Afturelding
0:3
Sep 17, 2016 Division 2
Afturelding vs Hottur
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hottur Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonasson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kamban W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hottur 14 / 100
Afturelding 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hottur Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Hottur scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Afturelding conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Hottur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afturelding
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hottur

(Home)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 6

Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)