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Hottur vs Vestri

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Signey J.
51' Event
Bjarnason P.
63' Event
Bjarnason P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2018 game between Hottur and Vestri finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vestri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hottur
15%
Draws
32%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Vestri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hottur are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hottur Clean Sheet 19%
Vestri Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hottur Vestri
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Vestri
0:5
May 12, 2018 Division 2
Vestri vs Hottur
5:0
Sep 23, 2017 Division 2
Vestri vs Hottur
3:4
Jul 12, 2017 Division 2
Hottur vs Vestri
1:0
Jul 27, 2016 Division 2
Hottur vs Vestri
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hottur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjarnason P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Signey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hottur 76 / 100
Vestri 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hottur Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hottur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hottur scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Vestri let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Hottur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vestri
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hottur

(Home)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
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Vestri

(Away)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)