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Hougang vs Albirex Niigata

Singapore Singapore

Singapore Cup Jalan Besar Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hougang play Albirex Niigata in the Singapore Cup. Albirex Niigata are favorites here. Recently, Hougang averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2 conceded. Albirex Niigata averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Hougang won 1, Albirex Niigata won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Hougang and 2.13 for Albirex Niigata. This points to a Albirex Niigata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hougang
15%
Draws
60%
Albirex Niigata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albirex Niigata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Hougang picked up more points recently compared to Albirex Niigata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Hougang Clean Sheet 10%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hougang Albirex Niigata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.3
Goals Conceded 2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Hougang vs Albirex Niigata
0:4
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Albirex Niigata vs Hougang
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Singapore Cup
Hougang vs Albirex Niigata
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Hougang vs Albirex Niigata
0:4
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Hougang vs Albirex Niigata
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hougang Compare

Top Goalscorer Nusong P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hougang 25 / 100
Albirex Niigata 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hougang Albirex Niigata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albirex Niigata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Albirex Niigata & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hougang attacking → ← attacking Albirex Niigata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hougang scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Albirex Niigata let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hougang went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Albirex Niigata lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 66
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albirex Niigata43108:310
2Balestier Khalsa421110:77
3Hougang42118:57
4Geylang41127:104
5Tanjong Pagar40043:110