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Houston Dash W vs Orlando Pride W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houston Dash W host Orlando Pride W in the NWSL Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Orlando Pride W have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Houston Dash W have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor Orlando Pride W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Orlando Pride W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Houston Dash W
20%
Draws
51%
Orlando Pride W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando Pride W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orlando Pride W lately — more wins on the board than Houston Dash W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Orlando Pride W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 19%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dash W Orlando Pride W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Orlando Pride W
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Houston Dash W
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Orlando Pride W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dash W 36 / 100
Orlando Pride W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dash W Orlando Pride W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pride W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dash W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orlando Pride W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Houston Dash W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dash W VS Orlando Pride W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dash W

(Home)
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3
Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
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Orlando Pride W

(Away)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)