Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Houston Dutch Lions vs NTX Rayados

USA USA

US Open Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houston Dutch Lions play NTX Rayados in the US Open Cup 2017. Houston Dutch Lions are favorites here. Recently, Houston Dutch Lions averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. NTX Rayados averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Houston Dutch Lions won 1, NTX Rayados won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2017 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Houston Dutch Lions and 1.44 for NTX Rayados. This points to a Houston Dutch Lions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Houston Dutch Lions
25%
Draws
15%
NTX Rayados
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Houston Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Houston Dutch Lions picked up more points recently compared to NTX Rayados.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Houston Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 16%
NTX Rayados Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dutch Lions NTX Rayados
Matches Played 2 13
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 2 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2017 US Open Cup
Houston Dutch Lions vs NTX Rayados
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dutch Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Olayimika L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pablo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

NTX Rayados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dutch Lions 57 / 100
NTX Rayados 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dutch Lions NTX Rayados

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dutch Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Houston Dutch Lions & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.2%
1.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Houston Dutch Lions attacking → ← attacking NTX Rayados

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dutch Lions scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

NTX Rayados let in goals in 100% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Houston Dutch Lions went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

NTX Rayados lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 15
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38