Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro SaberCats Stadium

Houston Dynamo 2

2 - 1

St. Louis City 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Herrera D.

12'

Sub

Barclay J. In: Zengue Z.

Out: Barclay J.

13'

Miller R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Houston Dynamo 2 and St. Louis City 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Houston Dynamo 2

11%

Draws

St. Louis City 2

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Houston Dynamo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and St. Louis City 2 come out ahead of Houston Dynamo 2 on wins alone.
Houston Dynamo 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 17%

St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Houston Dynamo 2	St. Louis City 2
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	17	19
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	2.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo 2 vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

May 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:4

Sep 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo 2 vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Jun 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Arthur Sousa

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelius L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 2 75 / 100

St. Louis City 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Houston Dynamo 2 St. Louis City 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo 2 scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

St. Louis City 2 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

St. Louis City 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo 2 VS St. Louis City 2

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
4	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
7	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
6	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
7	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12