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Houston Dynamo vs Atlanta United

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Feb 8, 2026
2 - 1
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houston Dynamo in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Houston Dynamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Houston Dynamo
35%
Draws
35%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atlanta United haven't matched Houston Dynamo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Houston Dynamo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo Atlanta United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Houston Dynamo vs Atlanta United
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo
2:2
Jun 14, 2020 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Atlanta United
0:0
Jul 17, 2019 MLS
Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo
5:0
Mar 3, 2018 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Atlanta United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 42 / 100
Atlanta United 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atlanta United conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Houston Dynamo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Houston Dynamo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS Atlanta United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo

(Home)
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
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Atlanta United

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
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