Sport Picks
Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
12'
12'
Bogusz M.
Assist: Ponce E.
18'
18'
Sanchez I.
29'
29'
Bogusz M.
Assist: Guilherme
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dynamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Austin FC haven't matched Houston Dynamo's recent run of results.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 20%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo
2:2
May 22, 2025 US Open Cup
Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Houston Dynamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogusz M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Austin FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Houston Dynamo 36 / 100
Austin FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Houston Dynamo Austin FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Austin FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Houston Dynamo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Austin FC conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Houston Dynamo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Houston Dynamo VS Austin FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Houston Dynamo
(Home) 27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
13 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 0 Houston Dynamo
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
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27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1 Real Salt Lake
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes
16 Aug
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 3
Austin FC
(Away) 27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2 Austin FC
27 Aug
Toluca
2 : 0 Austin FC
20 Aug
Seattle Sounders
1 : 2 Austin FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
