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Houston Sur vs Twin City Toucans

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Twin City Toucans in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Twin City Toucans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Houston Sur
6%
Draws
90%
Twin City Toucans
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Twin City Toucans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Twin City Toucans have won more games recently than Houston Sur.
  • Win probability leans Twin City Toucans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Twin City Toucans have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Houston Sur Clean Sheet 10%
Twin City Toucans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Sur Twin City Toucans
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 USL League Two
Houston Sur vs Twin City Toucans
2:4
Jun 26, 2025 USL League Two
Houston Sur vs Twin City Toucans
0:4
Jun 1, 2025 USL League Two
Twin City Toucans vs Houston Sur
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Twin City Toucans vs Houston Sur
2:0
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Twin City Toucans vs Houston Sur
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Sur 10 / 100
Twin City Toucans 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Sur Twin City Toucans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twin City Toucans has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Twin City Toucans's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Houston Sur scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Houston Sur VS Twin City Toucans
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Sur

(Home)
12 Jul
Houston Sur
1 : 4
San Antonio FC 2
09 Jul
Houston FC
3 : 0
Houston Sur
05 Jul
GFI Woodlands
4 : 0
Houston Sur
28 Jun
Hill Country Lobos
4 : 0
Houston Sur
25 Jun
Houston Sur
0 : 2
AHFC Royals
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Twin City Toucans

(Away)
09 Jul
San Antonio FC 2
0 : 0
Twin City Toucans
05 Jul
Twin City Toucans
1 : 2
Laredo Heat
01 Jul
Houston FC
2 : 2
Twin City Toucans
25 Jun
GFI Woodlands
2 : 0
Twin City Toucans
21 Jun
Twin City Toucans
1 : 2
Lonestar SC
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