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Houtvenne vs Tienen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Houtvenne Logo

Houtvenne

3 - 1
FT
Tienen Logo

Tienen

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Baik S. H.
23' Event
Marchal A.
43' Event
Schuermans K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Houtvenne in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Houtvenne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Houtvenne
20%
Draws
38%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houtvenne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Houtvenne lately — more wins on the board than Tienen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Houtvenne Clean Sheet 12%
Tienen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houtvenne Tienen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Houtvenne vs Tienen
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Houtvenne
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houtvenne Compare

Top Goalscorer Baik S. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schuermans K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houtvenne 30 / 100
Tienen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houtvenne Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houtvenne scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Tienen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Houtvenne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houtvenne VS Tienen
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Houtvenne

(Home)
03 Oct
Hoogstraten
3 : 0
Houtvenne
30 Sept
Houtvenne
2 : 1
Mandel United
26 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Houtvenne
20 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
Houtvenne
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
Page 1 of 6

Tienen

(Away)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
27 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 3
Tienen
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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