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Hovas W vs Kalmar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gunther E.
55' Event
Obita V.
66' Event
Obita V.

AI Match Summary

The Elitettan Women 2017 game between Hovas W and Kalmar W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalmar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hovas W
15%
Draws
85%
Kalmar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalmar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kalmar W come out ahead of Hovas W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kalmar W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Hovas W Clean Sheet 19%
Kalmar W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hovas W Kalmar W
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 2 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 0.56 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2017 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Hovas W
7:1
Jul 8, 2017 Elitettan Women
Hovas W vs Kalmar W
1:3
Aug 27, 2016 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Hovas W
0:1
May 7, 2016 Elitettan Women
Hovas W vs Kalmar W
2:1
Aug 8, 2015 Elitettan Women
Kalmar W vs Hovas W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hovas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Osterlind I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Kalmar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Obita V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gunther E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hovas W 20 / 100
Kalmar W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hovas W Kalmar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalmar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalmar W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kalmar W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hovas W scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kalmar W
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hovas W

(Home)
12 Nov
Kungsbacka W
1 : 0
Hovas W
04 Nov
Hovas W
0 : 1
AIK W
28 Oct
Kalmar W
7 : 1
Hovas W
14 Oct
Umea W
3 : 0
Hovas W
07 Oct
Hovas W
2 : 3
Mallbacken W
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Kalmar W

(Away)
10 Nov
Jitex W
2 : 1
Kalmar W
02 Nov
Kalmar W
0 : 5
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
19 Oct
Eskilstuna United W
1 : 3
Kalmar W
12 Oct
Kalmar W
1 : 2
Sundsvall W
05 Oct
Lidkoping W
1 : 0
Kalmar W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaxjo DFF W 26 22 3 1 83:17 69
2 Kalmar W 26 17 4 5 68:41 55
3 AIK W 26 16 4 6 53:25 52
4 Assi W 26 14 5 7 47:37 47
5 Kungsbacka W 26 12 5 9 43:36 41
6 Umea W 26 11 7 8 41:27 40
7 Vasteras BK 30 W 26 10 5 11 44:51 35
8 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 26 9 7 10 39:36 34
9 Mallbacken W 26 9 5 12 33:38 32
10 Sundsvall W 26 9 2 15 37:50 29
11 Boljan W 26 6 6 14 24:41 24
12 Holmalunds W 26 6 6 14 24:53 24
13 Ostersund W 26 6 4 16 24:55 22
14 Hovas W 26 1 5 20 14:67 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2018 (Main)