Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS vs Kiffen

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Briotech Arena, Helsinki
HPS Logo

HPS

1 - 2
FT
Kiffen Logo

Kiffen

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sipola J.
53' Event
Nevalainen R.
57'
Sub
Vaisanen O. In: Camara I.
Out: Vaisanen O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between HPS and Kiffen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiffen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
HPS
35%
Draws
45%
Kiffen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kiffen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiffen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kiffen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%
Kiffen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS Kiffen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.97 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Kiffen
1:2
Sep 4, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen vs HPS
2:3
Jul 25, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
HPS vs Kiffen
1:0
May 23, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen vs HPS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Niskanen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kiffen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nevalainen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurvanen V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS 18 / 100
Kiffen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS Kiffen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiffen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Kiffen has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: HPS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS VS Kiffen
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS

(Home)
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
2 : 2
HPS
01 Aug
HPS
5 : 5
HIFK
25 Jul
Atlantis
5 : 3
HPS
18 Jul
HPS
5 : 2
MyPa
Page 1 of 6

Kiffen

(Away)
15 Aug
PuiU Helsinki
1 : 3
Kiffen
07 Aug
Kiffen
1 : 0
Union Plaani
01 Aug
MyPa
0 : 0
Kiffen
25 Jul
Kiffen
1 : 1
HIFK
18 Jul
Kiffen
2 : 0
PEPO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 17 11 3 3 36:23 36
2 PEPO 17 10 4 3 31:22 34
3 Atlantis 17 9 2 6 56:41 29
4 HIFK 17 7 6 4 38:28 27
5 HPS 17 7 4 6 38:36 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 17 5 8 4 30:25 23
7 Lahden Reipas 17 7 2 8 35:34 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 17 4 4 9 25:36 16
9 MyPa 17 3 3 11 18:38 12
10 Union Plaani 17 3 2 12 18:42 11
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)