Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HPS W vs HJK W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women JYA Housing Areena, Helsinki
HPS W Logo

HPS W

1 - 2
FT
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Bethea L.
Assist: Kiviranta M.
45' Event
Sarelius K.
Assist: Bethea L.
46'
Sub
Kiviranta M. In: Holmstrom I.
Out: Kiviranta M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
HPS W
20%
Draws
47%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS W haven't matched HJK W's recent run of results.
  • HJK W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HPS W HJK W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 23
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.83 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:3
Aug 21, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
3:3
Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
4:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaaskelainen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bethea L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarelius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HPS W 22 / 100
HJK W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HPS W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

HJK W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

HPS W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HPS W VS HJK W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HPS W

(Home)
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
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HJK W

(Away)
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)