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Stadium Background

Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Hoever K.
10' Event
Darida V.
Assist: Horak D.
25' Event
van Buren M.
Assist: Cvancara T.

AI Match Summary

Hradec Kralove in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hradec Kralove.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hradec Kralove
15%
Draws
51%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hradec Kralove haven't matched Sparta Prague's recent run of results.
  • Sparta Prague are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hradec Kralove Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hradec Kralove Sparta Prague
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague
2:1
May 24, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Chance Liga
Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hradec Kralove Compare

Top Goalscorer Darida V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Buren M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Karabec A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hradec Kralove 18 / 100
Sparta Prague 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hradec Kralove Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hradec Kralove found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sparta Prague's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hradec Kralove went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hradec Kralove VS Sparta Prague
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hradec Kralove

(Home)
02 Oct
Hradec Kralove
2 : 0
SK Kladno
20 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 2
Teplice
16 Sept
Pribram
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
13 Sept
Zlin
1 : 2
Hradec Kralove
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
02 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 3
Jihlava
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)